Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.355174 0.414640 0.481238 0.561403 0.655365 0.762110 0.892734
2024-12-29 0.265015 0.343555 0.441343 0.572311 0.743576 0.960553 1.257340
2025-01-05 0.210139 0.292464 0.402613 0.561298 0.785003 1.090549 1.542065
2025-01-12 0.174957 0.257916 0.375590 0.555498 0.825197 1.217012 1.834101
2025-01-19 0.151362 0.234487 0.358497 0.558122 0.873808 1.357787 2.163768
2025-01-26 0.139043 0.225260 0.359880 0.586941 0.963870 1.570758 2.634279
2025-02-02 0.128482 0.216801 0.360542 0.613557 1.052657 1.792164 3.150371
2025-02-09 0.117953 0.206619 0.356536 0.631005 1.127303 1.998676 3.670380
2025-02-16 0.107152 0.194304 0.346960 0.636835 1.181394 2.175332 4.161459
2025-02-23 0.096520 0.180757 0.333248 0.632864 1.216214 2.320435 4.613134
2025-03-02 0.085447 0.164893 0.313194 0.614012 1.219628 2.405781 4.958869
2025-03-09 0.080569 0.160144 0.313252 0.633758 1.300739 2.652035 5.666539
2025-03-16 0.073938 0.151305 0.304675 0.635873 1.348063 2.840152 6.289188
2025-03-23 0.069017 0.145327 0.301099 0.647939 1.418243 3.086391 7.080416
2025-03-30 0.062371 0.134872 0.286966 0.635436 1.433083 3.214834 7.624044
2025-04-06 0.057028 0.126529 0.276229 0.628847 1.459991 3.373360 8.263002
2025-04-13 0.053036 0.120658 0.270117 0.631828 1.509228 3.589658 9.076922
2025-04-20 0.051601 0.120394 0.276442 0.664570 1.633767 4.001664 10.450648
2025-04-27 0.050032 0.119613 0.281462 0.694816 1.756453 4.426658 11.929436
2025-05-04 0.047875 0.117155 0.282226 0.714645 1.855654 4.806793 13.351963
2025-05-11 0.045101 0.112848 0.278006 0.721271 1.921512 5.110037 14.612755
2025-05-18 0.041960 0.107240 0.269912 0.716757 1.957036 5.337653 15.696260
2025-05-25 0.038248 0.099730 0.256142 0.695332 1.943300 5.428751 16.393762